World energy outlook, 2017, international energy agency iea, swiss re institute. These are some of the questions that are addressed in a special report world energy outlook seriesin the series. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. It is clear that peak oil will be hit well before 2020, while demand keeps on rising, unless the worlds oil majors and state owned oil companies massively invest in new. World energy outlook 2014 world energy outlook 20 note. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. World energy outlook annex a tables for scenario projections. The current policies scenario the new policies scenario and the 450 scenario. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015. It is rewritten annually to reflect the world s changing energy and economy realities. Iiasa calculated emissions of major air pollutants. Oecd iea 2011 world energy outlook 2011 amos bromhead energy analyst office of the chief economist riyadh, 24 january 2012. Options for the development of liberias energy sector afteg energy sector policy notes series october 2011 africa energy unit afteg sustainable development department africa region the world bank.
Earlier this month, the international energy agency iea issued its latest global forecast, the world energy outlook 2017 weo2017 so we thought wed give readers a quick rundown of ieas findings, focusing on its midrange new policies scenario, which includes current policies and expected or announced policies. In the 2011 outlook, the iea explored three scenarios. International energy agency iea world energy outlook 2011 and solar perspectives 2011 19 january 2012. In iea s world energy outlook, oils share in 2035 is 30 percent, followed by natural gas at 25 percent, and coal at 23 percent. The role of coal in driving economic growth in an emissionsconstrained world. Our work spans a variety of programmes and initiatives, helping ensure energy security, tracking clean energy transitions, collecting data, or providing training around the world. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018 eceee. Eia, international energy outlook 2011 0 50 100 150 200 250 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 liquids including biofuels renewables excluding biofuels natural gas coal nuclear history 2008 projections 34% 28% 23% 10% 5% 29% 27% 23% 7% 14% share of world total howard. Asiaworld energy outlook 2011 growing uncertainty over international energy trends and the future of asia. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. The world energy outlook explains the impact of todays decisions on tomorrows energy systems, and describes a pathway that enables the world to meet climate, energy access and air quality goals while maintaining a strong focus on the reliability and affordability of energy for a growing global population. Annual additions to the global coverage of mandatory energy efficiency policies, 2017. It represents the leading source for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. Adapted from iea forthcoming, world energy outlook 2018.
The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis. Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. How big is the gas resource base and what is the typical pattern of production from a gas field. The 2011 outlook is in four parts and gives a full update of energy demand and supply projections to 2035. Investment made today in energy infrastructure will leave its mark for decades to come. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea. This will be followed by about halfanhour presentation by the chief economist of the iea, mr. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate. That is the job of bodies such as the international energy agency iea, which it has been my privilege to lead since september 2011.
The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. The implications of a possible delay in oil and gas sector investment. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report. Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers. Energy efficiency technologies world energy council. Also key graphs, and the presentation to the press. This edition of the iea s flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply. These words come from the executive summary of the world energy outlook 2011, just published by the international energy agency iea. The world energy outlook weo team, under the agencys chief economist, fatih birol, has again done an outstanding job in weo 2011 to underpin sound energy decision making. This edition of the iea s flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply projections for different future scenarios, broken down by country, fuel and sector.
Why iea, opec and eia have such different outlooks for. Achieving the goals of the iea sustainable development scenario will require a combination of policy and financial knowhow to increase the flow of bankable clean energy projects around the world. The world energy outlook 2015 weo2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as detailed insights on the prospects for fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency and analysis on trends in co2 emissions and fossil. And well have about a half an hour for question and answers, maybe slightly more than half an hour, about that. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Iea is an autonomous organisation which works to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy for its 28 member countries and beyond. Nov 18, 2010 are we, at last, on the path to a secure, reliable and environmentally sustainable energy system.
Among these the world energy outlook stands out as the most important futuristic energy study and analysis. The international energy agency has released a report that examines the factors that will drive the supply and demand for national gas in the coming decades, the conditions under which gas could play a far more prominent role in the global energy mix, and the implications that natural gas could have for energy markets and the environment. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. Nov 10, 2009 and how much might the developed world have to pay to finance action elsewhere. Fatih birol, and also his closing remarks followed by that. The iea s nps outlook is in the same ballpark at 45%, while its sds projections anticipate a much lower 15% rise in gas usage on the back of following recommended policies.
There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. In this report the iea makes a detailed assessment of current flows and future investment needs along the entire energy value chain and examines financing options and barriers to realisation. The scenarios in the ieas world energy outlook 2010 clearly demonstrate the critical influence of government policies, especially those related to climate change, on the outlook for coal demand. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. Comparison of fossilfuel subsidy and support estimates. On page 159 of the iea 2018 world energy outlook the following graph can be found. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. Jun 23, 2015 the world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. In this outlook we seek to identify long term energy trends, and then add our views on the evolution of the world economy, of policy, and technology, to develop a. However, this is a lower figure than that implied by the census of india 2011, which gave.
The annual energy outlook 2011 is available on the eia website at. This edition of the iea flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply projections for different future scenarios, broken down by country, fuel. International energy agency world energy outlook 2006 dr. Its world energy outlook is often cited as the most authoritative source of strategic analysis of global energy markets. Share of energy in total production costs for selected industries energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use.
This edition of the ieas flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply. Middle east demand almost doubles, to a level similar to chinas in 2035, and demand in india in. Founded in response to the 19734 oil crisis, the iea s initial role was to help countries coordinate. In all the scenarios considered, world gdp more than doubles by 2040 driven by increasing prosperity in fastgrowing developing economies. International energy agency releases its world energy outlook. World primary energy demand global demand grows by more than half over the next quarter of a century, with coal use rising most in absolute terms oil. The international energy agency the iea, which was established in november 1974, has over the years gained recognition as one of the worlds most authoritative sources for energy statistics. It analyses the possible evolution of energy markets under three scenarios. Yet the credit squeeze could delay spending, potentially setting up a supplycrunch that could choke economic recovery. It is iea flagship publication and is the world s most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. Gas consumption is predicted to rise 43% by the eia and 57% by opec. As part of the total energy mix, all predictions are relatively alike between 24% and 26%.
World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of. The world needs russian energy, while russia needs to use less. Energy balances as a first tool for informing policies. For more information, and the free download of this report, please visit. World primary energy demand global demand grows by more than half over the next quarter of a century, with coal use rising most in absolute terms oil coal gas biomass nuclear other renewables 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 mtoe. It includes, for the first time, a new scenario that anticipates. Oecdiea 2011 world energy outlook 2011 amos bromhead energy analyst office of the chief economist riyadh, 24 january 2012. Each year the international energy agency in paris publishes its world energy outlook. The study incorporates the most recent data on global energy trends and policies, and investigates the economic and environmental consequences of three scenarios over the 2010 to 2035 time period. Coverage of existing climate commitments and pledges. The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body which was.
We focus on the us eias 2017 international energy outlook because the 2018 edition includes limited data for a limited number of countries. Energy information administration annual energy outlook 20 iii updated annual energy outlook 20 reference case april 20 the aeo20 reference case included as part of this complete report, released in april 20, was updated from the aeo2012 reference case released in june 2012. World energy outlook 2010 international energy agency. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the iea s directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. The international energy agency world energy outlook 2011 was released today. Nov 09, 2011 the international energy agency world energy outlook 2011 was released today. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. What does the unconventional gas boom in the united states mean for the rest of the world. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1. The executive summary is available for download here. Fatih birol chief economist international energy agency oecd iea 2006 the reference scenario.
Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. Iea world energy outlook 2011a comment sciencedirect. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook. Emissions of air pollutants for the world energy outlook. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. Comparison of fossilfuel subsidy and support estimates getting fuel prices right. This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the effect of recent lowcarbon energy. A short characterization of these scenarios is included in section 2. International energy agency the international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974.
World primary energy demand by fuel in the gas scenario gas overtakes coal before 2030 and meets one quarter of global energy demand by 2035 demand grows by 2% annually, compared with just 1. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974. Fatih birol iea chief economist brussels, 7 december 2011. Natural gas had a remarkable year in 2018, with a 4.
Here are some initial headlines from the mainstream press. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect. The market for solid fuels in the european union in 2010 and. This special report in the world energy outlook 2011 series examines the key factors that could secure for natural gas a more prominent role in the global energy mix, and the implications for other fuels and climate change. Iea energy balances of nonoecd countries large economic stimulus packages helped escape the worst of the financial crisis that the world has been experiencing since. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. These are some of the insights touted by the international energy agency iea world energy outlook 2015, published this week. World energy outlook 2006 british institute of energy. The world is missing opportunities to improve energy efficiency, policy is not delivering the full potential gains that are available with current technology. All organizations wish to see efficient fossilfuel pricing. This means removing consumer and producer subsidies for these fuels as a major step towards rationalizing energy prices, fully charging for supply costs and addressing the environmental. International energy agency iea world energy outlook 2011.
The oil drum iea world energy outlook 2010 now out. What impact would deferred investment in mena have on markets. As the thirdlargest exporter of energy in the world, it contributes to global energy security by. We asked in 2011 whether the world might be poised to enter a golden age of gas, and now it appears that global gas consumption is very close to those 2011. The annual outlook, weighing in at 700 pages, is one of the most widelyread and universally respected set of energy related forecasts in the world. The tax relief, unemployment insurance reauthorization, and job. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of individual iea member countries. Ieej8 outlook 2019 reference to 2050 opec9 world oil outlook 2018 reference to 2040 shell10 shell scenarios 2018 sky to 2100 us eia11 international energy outlook 2017 reference to 2050 note. Options for the development of liberias energy sector.
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